BTC Rally Continues

Bitcoin prices have continued to rise throughout the week. Despite some trepidation on Monday as to how the market would react to a US government shutdown it seems that BTC has emerged as a preferred vehicle for traders looking to store their capital during this period of uncertainty. While gold is leading the pack in terms of gains, BTC has risen firmly this week with price now eyeing a retest of the current all-time highs should buying continue over coming sessions. A surge in institutional demand, as reflected by soaring ETF inflows, suggests that BCT might soon see a breakout into new highs.

Bullish Q4 Outlook

This view is particularly encouraged by the fact that BTC is now entering what has traditionally been its strongest period of the year. ‘UP-tober’ as it’s become known among crypto aficionados has seen Bitcoin averaging gains of more than 14% since 2013. Indeed, Q4 on the whole has seen BTC averaging gains of more than 80% over the same horizon. As such, the rally we’ve seen over the first 24 hours of October is drawing plenty of attention. Given that BTC looks to be benefiting from the government shutdown and the view that it will ultimately lead to a faster pace of easing from the Fed, BTC looks set to accelerate higher as the shutdown continues.

Technical Views

BTC

The rally off the $108,855 level has seen the market breaking out above the corrective bear channel from YTD highs. Price is now close to testing the $121,500 level and those highs. With momentum studies bullish, focus is on a breakout and continuation towards the $136,395 level next.